Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -1 (65-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan'ya Green * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | +15.2 |
| Ameen Tanksley * | 35 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +10.4 |
| Antoine Mason * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +13.5 |
| Devon White * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Tahjere McCall * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Marvin Jordan | 34 | 9-18 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | +7.8 |
| T.J. Cline | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Malcolm Lemmons | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.7 |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Baron * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Chris Manhertz * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | -7.1 |
| Isaac Sosa * | 32 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Harold Washington * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Jordan Heath * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Josiah Heath | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -14.5 |
| Alshwan Hymes | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -15.1 |
| Reggie Groves | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.5 |
* = starter