Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +20 (71-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Edwards * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Sherrod Wright * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Johnny Williams * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -12.1 |
| Bryon Allen * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -18.8 |
| Erik Copes * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -10.9 |
| Marko Gujanicic | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -21.0 |
| Jonathan Arledge | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Patrick Holloway | 11 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +3.7 |
| Vaughn Gray | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.7 |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Smith * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +19.6 |
| Jonathan Lee * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +18.2 |
| Quincy Ford * | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +24.2 |
| David Walker * | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +16.7 |
| Reggie Spencer * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +12.0 |
| Dinko Marshavelski | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Zach Stahl | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Demetrius Pollard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Derrico Peck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Chris Avenant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter