Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Costello | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 33 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Travis Trice | 30 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Zeller * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Christian Watford * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hulls * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Will Sheehey | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Hanner Mosquera-Perea | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Remy Abell | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Creek | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeremy Hollowell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter