๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.7% 79.3% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +4 (54-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hawkins 0 2-7 1-3 1-2 0 1 3 0 3 6 0 -
P. Amukamara 0 3-6 1-1 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 7 13 -
A. Thomas 0 1-6 0-1 4-4 8 3 3 0 1 6 13 -
J. Burke 0 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Fulcher 0 5-12 0-2 3-3 1 0 2 0 0 13 4 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nyingifa 0 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
T. Lemberger 0 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 3 5 -
A. Brewer 0 3-6 0-0 3-5 6 2 1 0 6 9 6 -
M. Williams 0 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 4 7 -
K. Korver 0 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 5 2 -

* = starter