Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +15 (79-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Powell * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -10.6 |
| Keith McDougald * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Russell Powell * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13.6 |
| Kordario Fleming * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Jarvis Haywood * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Javon Dawson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Dylan Fritsch | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Evin Graham | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Jeremy Bogus | 13 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +8.2 |
| Tyler Alderman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Greene * | 39 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | +10.7 |
| Torrey Craig * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | +19.2 |
| Ricardo Glenn * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Mario Blessing * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +22.5 |
| Jodd Maxey * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +7.3 |
| Babatunde Olumuyiwa | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Fred Miller | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -14.0 |
| Adrian Rodgers | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -15.6 |
| Rob Elam | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter