Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | NJIT Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NJIT Highlanders +13 (64-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Provost * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Aaron Urbanus * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | +6.1 |
| Jesus Delgado * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Justin Leathers * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Lauri Toivonen * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Shaquille Hines | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Ruben Cabrera | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jamal Dantzler | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Josh Cleveland | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -2.2 |
| DeMarko Nash | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Hurley Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
NJIT Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Woods * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -1.9 |
| Chris Flores * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Daquan Holiday * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Sean McCarthy * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -4.5 |
| PJ Miller | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Odera Nweke | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Ky Howard | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Nigel Sydnor | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.8 |
* = starter