Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +7 (63-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Marcus Damas * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Jerome Hairston * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Mike Burwell * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Bilal Dixon * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Kris Walden | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Jamel Flash | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Kyle Gaillard * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Terry Tarpey * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Julian Boatner * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Brandon Britt | 26 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Matt Rum | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Sean Sheldon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Tom Schalk | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Fred Heldring | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
* = starter