Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | Tulane Green Wave | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulane Green Wave +7 (73-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Guercy * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Julian DeBose * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Seth Gearhart * | 36 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | +5.2 |
| Tamir Jackson * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Austin Ramljak * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Keith Washington | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Ross Wilson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Dan Peera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Bahrom Firozgary | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Davis * | 38 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 22 | +1.0 |
| Ricky Tarrant Jr. * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -4.5 |
| Jordan Callahan * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Kendall Timmons * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Tre Drye * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Jay Hook | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Ben Cherry | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Louis Dabney | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Lotanna Nwogbo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Josh Birchfield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Kevin Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
* = starter