Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Koch * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Lucas Troutman * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tony Sabato | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Winters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Bonney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Horgan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Mike Groselle * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Marshall Harris * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Ashton Moore * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Stephen Elmore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Raemond Robinson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Janeil Jenkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lawrence Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter