Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +33 (89-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Crutcher * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Justan Banks * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Davis * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jose Long * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Green Hill | 31 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Wagner | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Nicholas West | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Justin Colvin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Ellis | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Sturdivant * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Omar Strong * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ray Penn * | 34 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner * | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton | 18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Billy Rosenberg | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Blackwell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter