Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Baker * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Lorne Jackson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Nikolas Skouen * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jett Raines * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Moriba De Freitas * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Atif Russell | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Stacy Davis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jan Maehlen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Austin Mills | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Manny Ochenje | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Allen Stevens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dellavedova * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| S. Holt * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| B. Waldow * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Young * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Page * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Levesque | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 26 | - |
| J. Giusti | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Walker III | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Petrulis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Sanchez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter