Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | SE Louisiana Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SE Louisiana Lions +14 (67-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nelson * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -1.5 |
| John Jordan * | 38 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | -5.4 |
| Hameed Ali * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -12.7 |
| Dale Francis * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2.7 |
| James King * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Cole Martinez | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Nate Maxey | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -15.1 |
| Brandon Pye | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Jelani Currie | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Zane Knowles | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Kennon Dvorak | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Roosevelt Johnson * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10-17 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | +1.0 |
| Dre Evans * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Jeffery Ricard * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Roger Woods * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +8.2 |
| Antonnio Benton | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Todd Nelson | 12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Jeremy Campbell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Onochie Ochie | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +4.3 |
* = starter