Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -5 (73-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Standhardinger * | 36 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 11-17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 32 | +1.7 |
| Hauns Brereton * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Jace Tavita * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Valdélicio Joaquim * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +11.4 |
| Brandon Spearman * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Isaac Fotu | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -5.4 |
| Brandon Jawato | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
| Garrett Jefferson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Manroop Clair | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Davis Rozitis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Ozren Pavlovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taran Brown * | 33 | 7-23 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Kyle Boswell * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -0.5 |
| T.J. Taylor * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -9.2 |
| Sam Beeler * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Michael Bryson * | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Nate Garth | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Mitch Brewe | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Duke Da Re | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Shawn Moore | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Lewis Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
* = starter