Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Sacred Heart Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacred Heart Pioneers +14 (82-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Nesmith * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Jesse Steele * | 32 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Christian White * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Stephen Spinella * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -9.0 |
| Tyrone O'Garro * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Marcus Ware | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Max DiLeo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.0 |
| Ed Waite | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Jalen Palm | 9 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Gary Cox | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.5 |
Sacred Heart Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Gaetano * | 38 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 | +5.8 |
| Shane Gibson * | 37 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 15-17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 19 | -3.2 |
| Steve Glowiak * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Louis Montes * | 29 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | -4.2 |
| Nick Greenbacker * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.0 |
| Tevin Falzon | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +5.6 |
| De'Aires Tate | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +6.5 |
| Mostafa Abdel Latif | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Lewis Cramer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter