Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop Eagles | Radford Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Radford Highlanders +1 (58-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Smith * | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Joab Jerome * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2.6 |
| Derrick Henry * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -6.2 |
| Larry Brown * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7.9 |
| James Bourne * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.9 |
| Gideon Gamble | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Shola Diop | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Christian Farmer | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -5.3 |
| Steve Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Reggie King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Green * | 34 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +4.3 |
| R.J. Price * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Kyle Noreen * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | +6.7 |
| Blake Smith * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Brandon Holcomb * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Rashun Davis | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Kion Brown | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Jalen Carethers | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Taj Owens | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter