Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +7 (67-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceola Clark III * | 39 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Jack Houpt * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -10.8 |
| Terell Parks * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 21 | -11.9 |
| Adam Link * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -3.7 |
| Remy Roberts-Burnett * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Don McAvoy III | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4 | -13.4 |
| Jordan Foster | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | -11.8 |
| Michael Ochereobia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Bader * | 39 | 5-17 | 5-12 | 11-13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Corey Petros * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Drew Valentine * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Ryan Bass * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Dante Williams * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Duke Mondy | 34 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +9.8 |
| Matt Poches | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +14.2 |
| Mitch Baenziger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Joey Asbury | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter