Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kellen Thornton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Gaither * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jay Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Green | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Player #65845 | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chaed Wellian | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tashon Fredrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Atkinson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Chad Posthumus * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Bakari Turner * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Stokes | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Taariq Muhammad | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Reed | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter