Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +19 (72-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Harris * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Price * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Kevin Kaspar * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| George Fant * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Aleksej Rostov * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Vasquez | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Caden Dickerson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O'Karo Akamune | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Stephon Drane | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Teeng Akol | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Percy Blade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kene Anyigbo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Massey * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | - |
| JT Sulton * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds II * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Neiko Hunter * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Marcos Knight * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Raymond Cintron | 25 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Jones | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tweety Knight | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James Gallman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Torin Walker | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Gibson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zane Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter