Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Chicago Ramblers -12 (63-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray McCallum * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jason Calliste * | 40 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Nick Minnerath * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Howard Jr. * | 26 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Doug Anderson * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anton Wilson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Boutte | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ugochukwu Njoku | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Lippert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Thomas * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Ben Averkamp * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Cully Payne * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Joe Crisman * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hicks * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Devon Turk | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| London Dokubo | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt O'Leary | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Osborne | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter