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2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Jackson State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“

Actual: Jackson State Tigers +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Smith 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 15 26 -
Davon Usher 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 26 32 -
Darryl Marshall 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 2 7 -
Julius Francis 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Cortlan Henry 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
Blake Ralling 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Ervin Thomas 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 5 6 -
Cameron Dobbs 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
Cordarius Samples 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Marcus Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrell Taylor 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 3 3 10 21 -
Jonathan Lewis 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 6 -
Christian Williams 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 15 17 -
Jeff Stubbs 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 13 13 -
Sydney Coleman 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Phillip Williams 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 5 8 -
Willie Readus 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 4 12 -
Kelsey Howard 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
D. Nelson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Kenny Demouchet 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Keeslee Stewart 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter