Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Ned Cox * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Lewis Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Troy Taylor * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Adam Wing | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 41 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter