Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride -6 (51-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Dixon * | 38 | 5-14 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +8.6 |
| Keith Rendleman * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Tanner Milson * | 32 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Freddie Jackson * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Shane Reybold * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +16.8 |
| Cedrick Williams | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.4 |
| Luke Hager | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -3.3 |
| Craig Ponder | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Dylan Sherwood | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.8 |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Mejia * | 38 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Taran Buie * | 34 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 3 | -8.9 |
| David Imes * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -9.2 |
| Jordan Allen * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -15.5 |
| Moussa Kone | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Daquan Brown | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Matt Grogan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +5.8 |
| Darren Payen | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
* = starter