Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -11 (74-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark * | 38 | 9-14 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | +7.2 |
| J.J. Mann * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +11.7 |
| Trevor Noack * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +3.0 |
| Kerron Johnson * | 35 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1.9 |
| Blake Jenkins * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Reece Chamberlain | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Brandon Baker | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Adam Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jeff Laidig | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Holden Mobley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike DiNunno * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Corey Walden * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | -2.6 |
| Tarius Johnson * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Eric Stutz * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Timmy Knipp * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Marcus Lewis | 24 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jeff Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +10.0 |
| Ryan Parsons | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Deverin Muff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Robbie Stenzel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
* = starter