Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | โ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | โ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +6 (78-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stone * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 18 | -13.7 |
| Marland Smith * | 41 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -9.7 |
| Corey Wilford * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Nino Johnson * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -16.2 |
| Lucas Nutt * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Nick Niemczyk | 31 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| A.J. Jones | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -5.2 |
| Jared White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Colin Ferguson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Akers * | 43 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Josh Piper * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Sherman Blanford * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 24 | +16.9 |
| Morris Woods * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Taylor Jones * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Malcolm Herron | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Alex Austin | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +9.6 |
| Cameron Harvey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
* = starter