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Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Eastern Illinois Panthers Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Margin 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.5% 26.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—

Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +6 (78-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Stone * 42 6-13 0-1 1-2 12 3 0 4 1 13 18 -13.7
Marland Smith * 41 5-11 4-9 0-2 5 2 2 2 2 14 12 -9.7
Corey Wilford * 36 8-15 3-6 1-1 3 1 2 1 1 20 11 +0.7
Nino Johnson * 29 0-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 2 1 1 -16.2
Lucas Nutt * 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 3 6 -8.3
Nick Niemczyk 31 3-8 2-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 8 4 -2.8
A.J. Jones 22 5-10 1-3 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 13 10 -5.2
Jared White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.2
Colin Ferguson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Eastern Illinois Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Akers * 43 3-9 2-5 4-4 1 5 2 0 1 12 10 +8.1
Josh Piper * 35 5-15 3-8 0-0 9 2 0 2 3 13 8 +0.7
Sherman Blanford * 33 6-14 0-0 9-11 16 1 0 2 2 21 24 +16.9
Morris Woods * 33 5-10 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 1 3 12 6 -3.0
Taylor Jones * 32 0-3 0-2 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 4 7 -6.5
Malcolm Herron 23 3-6 3-5 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 11 12 +5.3
Alex Austin 18 1-6 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 5 1 +9.6
Cameron Harvey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2

* = starter