Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +14 (89-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wilson * | 37 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -20.0 |
| Parker Smith * | 37 | 7-14 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | -3.6 |
| David Jeune * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -8.3 |
| Beau Beech * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -5.1 |
| Travis Wallace * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Charles McRoy | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -15.6 |
| Andy Diaz | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -3.6 |
| Demarcus Daniels | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -18.6 |
| Ray Rodriguez | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Cameron Naylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Jones * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | +21.9 |
| Hunter Harris * | 34 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 23 | +13.4 |
| Petey McClain * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | +20.0 |
| Lester Wilson * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +13.9 |
| Kinard Gadsden-Gilliard * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -9.6 |
| Rashawn Rembert | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +12.7 |
| Mario Stramaglia | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.7 |
| John Walton III | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Yunio Barrueta | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
* = starter