Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -17 (59-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Whittington * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | -0.3 |
| Brandon Pokley * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -5.1 |
| Nate Hutcheson * | 25 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Jared Klein * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Darius Paul * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Austin Richie | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +13.5 |
| David Brown | 18 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +21.9 |
| Dan Loney | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Connar Tava | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +21.8 |
| Taylor Perry | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Hayden Hoerdemann | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.2 |
| Anthony Avery Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Tim Brennan | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Randall * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | -5.0 |
| John Simons * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Olivier Mbaigoto * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Austin Keel * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Chris Fowler | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Blake Hibbitts | 25 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Finis Craddock | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Spencer Krannitz | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Derrick Richardson Jr. | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Austin Stewart | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11.5 |
| Zach Saylor | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Luke Wiest | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Rick Rowse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter