Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Manuel * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Dickerson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| London Giles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Spurlock * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter