Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +9 (74-65). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Manuel * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Dickerson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| London Giles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Spurlock * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Williams Jr. | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter