Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +25 (63-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Morrow | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kelvin Penn | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Greg Gantt | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan McCoy | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Stefan Moody | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dragan Sekelja | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Trapp | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pablo Bertone | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andre Mattison | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cavon Baker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javier Lacunza | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hooten | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Finn | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| E. Townsel | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Peterson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| C. Golden | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Downs | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Pierre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Weaver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter