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2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“

Actual: Army Black Knights +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Schoof * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 12 20 -
Daniel Munoz * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 13 14 -
Stephen Lumpkins * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 4 21 30 -
Blake Jolivette * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
Tony Wroblicky * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 2 11 -
Jesse Reed 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 9 12 -
Austin Carroll 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
Kyle Kager 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Marko Vasic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wilson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 20 24 -
D. Cox * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 8 0 1 0 8 23 -
K. Toth * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 16 -
L. Toomey * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 10 11 -
K. Ferguson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 6 12 -
E. Ellis 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 12 15 -
A. Stire 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
C. Kincade 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
M. Lenox 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Gramling 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Springer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
M. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter