Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | -5.6 | ✓ (29.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -35 (47-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Wilbekin * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kenny Boynton * | 28 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Patric Young * | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Mike Rosario * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Erik Murphy * | 23 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Michael Frazier | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Will Yeguete | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| DeVon Walker | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Braxton Ogbueze | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dillon Graham | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Kurtz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Ware * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 25 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Baxter Price | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter