Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Fox * | 31 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| C. Patton * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Harriel * | 26 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Jones * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Johns | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Devenny | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Owens | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Quick | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Les * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| P. Mancasola * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Sypkens * | 31 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| O. Betu | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Howley | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Bozner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter