Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +7 (79-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Smith * | 36 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -8.8 |
| Josh Fox * | 31 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | -8.5 |
| Chris Patton * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Chris Harriel * | 26 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +4.3 |
| Steven Jones * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Tajai Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +13.8 |
| Taylor Johns | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Lucas Devenny | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Tre Owens | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.9 |
| Austin Quick | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Les * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 31 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +1.9 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +3.0 |
| Josh Ritchart * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Olivier-Paul Betu | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Clint Bozner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter