Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -14 (50-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Foster * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | +10.2 |
| Evan Roquemore * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Marc Trasolini * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 21 | +9.8 |
| Raymond Cowels III * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Robert Garrett * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Yannick Atanga | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Julian Clarke | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.6 |
| John McArthur | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Brandon Clark | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +5.8 |
| Niyi Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Dee * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Ken Rancifer * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Christopher Anderson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Chris Manresa * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Dennis Kramer * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Jito Kok | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Cameron Miles | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -13.0 |
| John Sinis | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Keith Stackhouse | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +12.1 |
| Trey Guidry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Simi Fajemisin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
* = starter