Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +22 (81-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young * | 36 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Will Davis II * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Michael Wilder * | 30 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Adam Folker * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris McNealy | 28 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Conor Clifford | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Travis Souza | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reed McConnell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Caffey * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Keala King * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tony Freeland * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| James Ennis III * | 26 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Dan Jennings * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Peter Pappageorge | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kris Gulley | 11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Richardson | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Shepherd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deng Deng | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gatete Djuma | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter