Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +10 (81-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cotton * | 39 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +6.4 |
| LaDontae Henton * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Vincent Council * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Kris Dunn * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Kadeem Batts * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -11.4 |
| Sidiki Johnson | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +15.1 |
| Josh Fortune | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Ted Bancroft | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Lee Goldsbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vander Blue * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Trent Lockett * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Junior Cadougan * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Juan Anderson * | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Chris Otule * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.5 |
| Jamil Wilson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Davante Gardner | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Steve Taylor Jr. | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Derrick Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Jake Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter