Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +10 (56-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Hill * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -5.0 |
| Richard Ross * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 19 | -5.0 |
| DeShawn Painter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | -1.3 |
| Aaron Bacote * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -1.3 |
| Dimitri Batten * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Keenan Palmore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -1.3 |
| Nick Wright | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Stuart McEwen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anton Larsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +11.3 |
| Ron Curry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | +3.4 |
| Andre Nation * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 23 | +5.7 |
| Rayshawn Goins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Taylor Bessick * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Charles Cooke | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +10.8 |
| A.J. Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Gene Swindle | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Enoch Hood | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8.8 |
* = starter