Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -5 (57-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neighbour * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Michael Javes * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Leroy Isler * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ben Dillard * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hagins | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| John Gillon | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| James White | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kemy Osse | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stetson Billings | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Taggart Lockhart | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Franklin * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Hardwick * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Williams * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Tony Mitchell * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Alzee Williams | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keith Coleman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clarke Overlander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter