Model Predictions
| Model | UAB Blazers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +5 (66-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Rucker * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Fahro Alihodzic * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -9.9 |
| Terence Jones * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -8.2 |
| Robert Williams * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | -7.5 |
| Preston Purifoy * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +7.3 |
| Jordan Swing | 32 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | -6.2 |
| Quincy Taylor | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Alexander Scotland-Williamson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isiah Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TaShawn Thomas * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +0.3 |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Joe Young * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +15.5 |
| J.J. Thompson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Leon Gibson * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +7.6 |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Tione Womack | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.8 |
| J.J. Richardson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Mikhail McLean | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Brandon Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
* = starter