Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -14 (51-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Della Valle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Craft * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| S. Thompson * | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Ravenel | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Ross | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Scott | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. McDonald | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| N. Colella * | 35 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Travis | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Graham | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| D. Jack | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Ackerman | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Montminy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter