Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -10 (57-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Evans * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +2.4 |
| Kwamain Mitchell * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Mike McCall Jr. * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Grandy Glaze * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Rob Loe * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Cody Ellis | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Jordair Jett | 25 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +3.4 |
| John Manning | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Jake Barnett | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Cory Remekun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demitrius Conger * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Chris Johnson * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +12.1 |
| Youssou Ndoye * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Matthew Wright * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +9.2 |
| Eric Mosley * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -10.5 |
| Charlon Kloof | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +13.9 |
| Jordan Gathers | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Marquise Simmons | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Michael Davenport | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.0 |
* = starter