Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson +5 (82-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Boehm * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +5.5 |
| Alex Mitola * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Jvonte Brooks * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +0.5 |
| John Golden * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Gabas Maldunas * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Tyler Melville | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Malik Gill | 20 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Brandon McDonnell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Kevin Crescenzi | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.2 |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Saunders * | 44 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 27 | -6.0 |
| Siyani Chambers * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 13 | -7.8 |
| Christian Webster * | 41 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -11.7 |
| Laurent Rivard * | 41 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Jonah Travis * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -10.5 |
| Steve Moundou-Missi | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Kenyatta Smith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7.8 |
| Agunwa Okolie | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.0 |
| Alex Nesbitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
* = starter