Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -8 (65-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerian Grant * | 39 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +1.4 |
| Eric Atkins * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Pat Connaughton * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Tom Knight * | 32 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Jack Cooley * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | +9.4 |
| Garrick Sherman | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Cameron Biedscheid | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Austin Burgett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Collins * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Victor Rudd * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Martino Brock * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Kore White * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Zach LeDay | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Javontae Hawkins | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Jawanza Poland | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Jordan Omogbehin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter