Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -19 (47-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille White-Miller * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cameron Catlett * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Greg Gainey * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Edwards * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Drew Charles * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Butler | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Reves | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Outler | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Karol Gruszecki | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Deon Rodgers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle McElvain | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Cunningham * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| LaVanne Pennington * | 29 | 1-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Alex Brown * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Louis Garrett * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| D.J. Brown | 25 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Stephon Smith | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Aalim Moor | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nick Grieves | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Jones | 9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| David Andoh | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaleel Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter