Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +7 (79-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Svihovec * | 36 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Derrick Barden * | 34 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Tate Unruh * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tim Huskisson * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| James Davis Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Douvier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikh McKinney * | 37 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| John Dickson * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Konner Veteto * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Joe Eberhard * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Julian Demalleville * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Garrity | 29 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jackson Carbajal | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Cody Dempsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joey Quigley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter