Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (61-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Peeper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jarvis Summers * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Murphy Holloway * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -1.4 |
| LaDarius White * | 31 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Marshall Henderson * | 29 | 4-15 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Reginald Buckner * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13.4 |
| Aaron Jones | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +8.3 |
| Nick Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Derrick Millinghaus | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Terry Brutus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Anthony Perez | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Chubb * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | +17.1 |
| Allen Payne * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 25 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Josh Wallace * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Shaquille Johnson * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +29.8 |
| Chris Denson | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -6.2 |
| Brian Greene Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Noel Johnson | 13 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Asauhn Dixon-Tatum | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.8 |
| Jordan Price | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -15.1 |
* = starter