Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints -9 (69-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan'ya Green * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Antoine Mason * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ameen Tanksley * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Tahjere McCall * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Devon White * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Jordan | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Cline | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joe Thomas | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Lemmons | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Hymes * | 40 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 12-13 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 21 | - |
| O.D. Anosike * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rob Poole * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rich Audu * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brett Bisping * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trenity Burdine | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Davis Martens | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter