Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans +6 (63-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Smith * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Will Wilson * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Beau Beech * | 27 | 7-16 | 0-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| David Jeune * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Travis Wallace * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Charles McRoy | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Andy Diaz | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Demarcus Daniels | 15 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ray Rodriguez | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jibril Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Naylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Greene * | 36 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jodd Maxey * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Torrey Craig * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ricardo Glenn * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Mario Blessing * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Rodgers | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Babatunde Olumuyiwa | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Fred Miller | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rob Elam | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter