Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Wofford Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wofford Terriers +13 (63-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrec Ferrara * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Stephen Croone * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | -6.2 |
| Charlie Reddick * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Colin Reddick * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -6.4 |
| Bobby Austin * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | -12.1 |
| Bryant Irwin | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Larry Wideman | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +2.8 |
| David Brown | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Kevin Chuisseu | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -0.9 |
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Skinner * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Indiana Faithfull * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Karl Cochran * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Spencer Collins * | 30 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Aerris Smith * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Jarell Byrd | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +6.4 |
| C.J. Neumann | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Justin Gordon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.7 |
| James Long | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Taylor Wagener | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter