Model Predictions
| Model | Robert Morris Colonials | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -14 (70-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Robert Morris Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Jones * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Russell Johnson * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Velton Jones * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Stephan Hawkins * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Coron Williams * | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Myers-Pate | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Karvel Anderson | 21 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| David Appolon | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Keith Armstrong | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Millaud-Meunier * | 39 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Dominique Major * | 39 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Earl Brown * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Stephon Whyatt * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ronnie Drinnon * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Greg Brown | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Ervin | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ollie Jackson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter