Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +3 (80-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marland Smith * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -6.2 |
| Corey Wilford * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Tyler Stone * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -14.7 |
| Nino Johnson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Lucas Nutt * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Nick Niemczyk | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -11.0 |
| A.J. Jones | 16 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Colin Ferguson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Jared White | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Davis * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Jerome Jones * | 37 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | +13.7 |
| Mark Yelovich * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | +12.1 |
| Michael Messer * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | -1.9 |
| Derian Shaffer * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Tim Johnson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -5.1 |
| Ray Lester | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.4 |
| Zeke Schneider | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter